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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Ford

Team: PensbyDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

730

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

56

Matches Played

28

Wins

28

Losses

50%

Win Rate

8.7

Avg Win Margin

7.9

Avg Loss Margin

19-14

Home Record

9-14

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
56 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/18/2023

A large recent sample: 56 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins28/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 56 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Jun9 Jul6 Aug30 May15 Jul26 Aug9 Jun18 Aug-13713

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.7
score+0.12→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.9
score+0.02→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
801
score-0.22→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.019
Sample Size Confidence
100%(56/39 matches)
Rating990 → shrunk 990→ adjusted 730
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

28W28L56 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2021–2023League 2, League 352272551.9%
Pensby B2019League 341325%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/18/2023Ethel (etty) JonesH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2023vs Gladstone BH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2023Alan HeatonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2023Keith TullyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2023vs Oxton Conservative ClubA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2023Dave RimmerH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2023vs AlbanyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
6/23/2023vs Upton Victory Hall BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Bob JenkinsH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023Joe LandsboroughH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
5/22/2023Richard NorburyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/19/2023Paul NelsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/12/2023David OwenA1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 2
5/5/2023Peter McgheeH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
4/21/2023Dave GriffithsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
8/26/2022vs Albany BH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2022Jackie SnapeA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2022Margie VickersH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2022vs Bromborough PoolH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Kevin OwensH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2022Trevor BarracloughH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Kevin OwensA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022John ShawH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Stephen WheeldonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2022Phil HaleA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Eddie CarvellH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2022Paul KyffinA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2022John NashH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2022Kevin TurnerA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Albany BA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2022Tony GouldA21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Stephen DaviesH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2022Chris WentworthA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022George SaxtonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022Roy CookeH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Roger HamerA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/13/2021John GladwinH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/6/2021Peter ProwseA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2021vs PoultonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021John LeeceA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/23/2021Stephen WheeldonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2021Philip CorcoranH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/16/2021Jane BradshawH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2021Jeremy BradshawA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/9/2021Geoff MillichipA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2021Dereck SnedkerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2021John BensteadH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2021Nick KavanaghH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2021vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings CA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Lorraine WatkinsH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2021Katrina LockwoodA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/4/2021Mally LloydH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
8/23/2019Kevin OwensH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2019John RiggH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Alan MawbyH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2019Karen JamesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl6 games · 3W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve CrightonCammell Laird8-21LOSSWON
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundMary FishwickAlbany B21-7WINWON
Round of 16 RoundJordan McelnayAlbany8-21LOSSLOST
20223 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundDave FinlayBromborough Pool21-13WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMartin SomervillePensby B21-15WINWON
Quarters RoundSyd TaylorAlbany12-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLWLL
Last 1020% win rate↑ improving
WLWLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Kevin Owens12333.3%7/29/2022
Albany B202100%8/26/2022
Stephen Wheeldon11250%7/8/2022
Ethel (etty) Jones101100%8/18/2023
Gladstone B0110%7/31/2023
Alan Heaton101100%7/24/2023
Keith Tully0110%7/21/2023
Oxton Conservative Club0110%7/17/2023
Dave Rimmer0110%7/7/2023
Albany0110%7/3/2023
Biggest Win
Tony Gould (+18)5/23/2022
Heaviest Defeat
David Owen (-20)5/12/2023
Best Season
202267% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202320% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
61% → 39%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
74744 known · 12 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
20-2149% win rate

By Division

League 325-16 (61%)
League 23-12 (20%)
League 220%
3W·12L·15 played
League 361%
25W·16L·41 played

Debut

Jul 26, 2019

Latest

Aug 18, 2023

Seasons Active

4 (4.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (56 total)

Seasons

2019202120222023